Research dossier

AVAX

Avalanche

TokenIdentity verified from CoinGecko

Official website

CoinGecko

Requested by the community. Verified from provider data. · Oct 10, 2026, 10:08 PM

Some evidence needs refreshing.

IdentifiedChecking evidenceReviewing contradictionsFindings ready

The brief

What stands out

Supply
Reported FDV relative to market capitalization
Reported fully diluted valuation and market capitalization are available for comparison. Reported FDV: 4,902,415,039; market capitalization: 4,624,258,537; FDV/market-cap ratio: 1.06015159.
Why it matters. Comparing fully diluted valuation with current market capitalization shows how much reported valuation depends on non-circulating supply, but the ratio alone does not reveal when or whether additional supply will circulate.
What limits this finding. Upcoming token unlock timing is not verified in the available data.
Evidence strength · ModerateWorth noting
Evidence and source details
derived · circulating to max supply pct
Exact value: 61.574948411498019444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444 percent
Source: -
Updated: -
derived · circulating to total supply pct
Exact value: 94.326133145938076170408430502705765603473829071375514568389468225478548316633472 percent
Source: -
Updated: -
FDV / market capitalization ratio
Exact value: 1.0601515896601349562475814487532404159780653717372377097262630841524680954489634 ratio
Source: -
Updated: -
Current fully diluted valuation
Exact value: 4902415039 USD
Source: CoinGecko
Updated: Oct 10, 2026
Current market capitalization
Exact value: 4624258537 USD
Source: CoinGecko
Updated: Oct 10, 2026

What we still don't know

One or more evidence categories could not be collected from the configured providers.
NoShills does not currently have the required ATH drawdown value and ATH date for this research snapshot. Missing: Drawdown from all-time high; Reported all-time-high date.
There is not enough current evidence to evaluate this observation. Missing: 30-day price volatility.
There is not enough current evidence to evaluate this observation. Missing: Volume spike ratio.

Evidence at a glance

Market: 1 fact available
Supply: No verified coverage yet
Evidence quality: Partial

Sources used in this research

CoinGecko
0 facts available · Updated Oct 10, 2026

NoShills shows dated public facts only. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.

How this research was built

Identity → Evidence → Derived metrics → Findings

NoShills preserves missing values, source conflicts and evidence timestamps instead of smoothing them into a single rating.

Read the methodology

The numbers

A neutral record of collected facts, source timing, evidence coverage, and current testability.

Completed · Oct 10, 2026, 10:09 PM · Refresh is available

Market & valuation

Reported volume is not the same as executable liquidity.

An FDV gap does not automatically mean imminent dilution.

Current fully diluted valuationMarket · Stale: $4.9B
Exact value
4902415039
Source: CoinGeckoProvider updated: Oct 10, 2026, 10:07 PMRetrieved: Oct 10, 2026, 10:09 PMThis fact has recorded source or coverage limitations.
Current market capitalizationMarket · Stale: $4.62B
Exact value
4624258537
Source: CoinGeckoProvider updated: Oct 10, 2026, 10:07 PMRetrieved: Oct 10, 2026, 10:09 PMThis fact has recorded source or coverage limitations.
Current USD priceMarket · Stale: $10.43
Exact value
10.43
Source: CoinGeckoProvider updated: Oct 10, 2026, 10:07 PMRetrieved: Oct 10, 2026, 10:09 PMThis fact has recorded source or coverage limitations.
Trailing 24-hour volumeMarket · Stale: $232.07M/24h
Exact value
232065053
Source: CoinGeckoProvider updated: Oct 10, 2026, 10:07 PMRetrieved: Oct 10, 2026, 10:09 PMThis fact has recorded source or coverage limitations.
FDV / market capitalization ratioMarket · Available: 1.06×
Exact value
1.0601515896601349562475814487532404159780653717372377097262630841524680954489634
Retrieved: Oct 10, 2026, 10:09 PMThis fact has recorded source or coverage limitations.

Supply

No verified unlock calendar is available.

Circulating supplySupply · Stale: 443.34M token
Exact value
443339628.56278574
Source: CoinGeckoProvider updated: Oct 10, 2026, 10:07 PMRetrieved: Oct 10, 2026, 10:09 PMThis fact has recorded source or coverage limitations.
Maximum supplySupply · Stale: 720M token
Exact value
720000000
Source: CoinGeckoProvider updated: Oct 10, 2026, 10:07 PMRetrieved: Oct 10, 2026, 10:09 PMThis fact has recorded source or coverage limitations.
Total supplySupply · Stale: 470.01M token
Exact value
470007211.97471994
Source: CoinGeckoProvider updated: Oct 10, 2026, 10:07 PMRetrieved: Oct 10, 2026, 10:09 PMThis fact has recorded source or coverage limitations.

Evidence quality

These components describe evidence completeness, timing, provenance, agreement, and category coverage.

Cross-source agreement: Insufficient cross-source evidence
Completeness: Measured · 7/7 applicable observations
Category coverage: Measured · 2/2 applicable observations
Freshness: Measured · 7/7 applicable observations
Provenance: Measured · 7/7 applicable observations
Overall evidence quality: Unavailable

Evidence quality only describes the completeness and reliability of the collected record.

What can currently be checked

Testability only describes whether the required evidence can currently be checked.

Launch market evidence authorization

Testable

Structural comparison with reviewed cases

Deterministic comparison uses evidence available at each displayed cutoff. Historical outcomes are attached only after case selection is frozen.

Historical comparison is not publicly available yet because the verified research corpus is still being expanded.

Historical outcomes were not used to select cases. These comparisons do not establish current behavior or provide investment guidance.

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